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# Bayesian Optimization

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  1. arXiv

    Formulation screening stops guessing: KolTa folds a temperature physics residual into acquisition, cutting drug-solubility queries by about 18%

    For formulation discovery with few measurements and a fixed experimental budget, KolTa splits property prediction into component base contributions, role-conditioned interactions and an anchored temperature response, trained with a derivative-based physics constraint. Its acquisition rule calibrates ensemble disagreement together with the physics residual at the target temperature against out-of-fold errors. Across binary-mixture viscosity, drug solubility, ionic-liquid viscosity and simulated electrolyte conductivity, mean AULC ranks first or second on every task, and on the drug task the median queries to reach 80% recovery are about 18% fewer than the fastest comparator.

  2. arXiv

    TRACE stops fixing the molecular neighborhood: a success/failure controller widens or narrows the search, and 80 DFT evaluations lift FePc dissolution resistance to 2.59 eV

    In open-ended molecular design, candidates are generated on demand, and the scale of the search has usually been fixed in advance by a preset similarity criterion or candidate count. TRACE makes chemical extent and candidate breadth explicit as a Tanimoto-similarity threshold and a cardinality budget, expands or contracts both with a success/failure controller, and lets a fixed fragprint Gaussian process choose what to evaluate. Across six PMO objectives under a matched 1,000-evaluation budget, TRACE has a mean top-1 AUC rank of 1.73 and a mean top-10 AUC rank of 1.27; in a closed-loop DFT campaign on FePc derivatives, 80 designed-candidate evaluations raise the computed resistance to Fe dissolution from 0.42 to 2.59 eV.

  3. arXiv

    A commercial robot closes the lab loop: agentic optimization needs up to 52% fewer iterations than Bayesian optimization

    A self-driving-laboratory testbed built from a commercial lab robot, an absorbance plate reader and a swappable optimizer completed six independent campaigns of 48 closed-loop iterations each, over 24 cumulative hours of unattended operation. Five of the six campaigns matched their target absorbance spectra within measurement error, at an average RMSE of OD. In the same physical loop, an agentic optimizer driven by Claude Opus 5 matched all three targets in fewer iterations than Bayesian optimization, cutting iterations by 52% on target 1 and 32% on target 2, and converging in 11 iterations on target 3, which Bayesian optimization failed to match within 48.

  4. arXiv

    Meta hands ranking-model scaling laws to an automated search: 34 shipped iterations average 0.66% lower normalized entropy and 0.36% cumulative online lift

    Meta's ads ranking and retrieval fleet no longer allocates capacity by hand, one model at a time. Previously each scaling decision cost days to weeks of training, and the architecture dimensions are coupled, so they cannot be enlarged independently. Axia maps embedding dimension, interaction depth and interaction width through a scaling layer into complete architectures, then uses Bayesian surrogates to pick a small number of training trials. Across 34 model iterations in two development cycles, offline normalized entropy improved by a mean 0.66% relative and the online key metric by a cumulative 0.36%.

  5. EEG attention decoding drops the fixed electrode graph: dynamic topology plus self-attention reaches 91.67% on three classes

    EEG attention recognition has moved away from a fixed electrode-connectivity graph. Multi-band features were previously concatenated and channel relations were handled with a preset adjacency matrix, which struggles to capture task-dependent coupling. DGCSA treats electrodes as graph nodes, updates channel topology through a learnable adjacency matrix, and adds self-attention for global dependencies, while Bayesian-optimized band weights fuse power spectral density and differential entropy. On 873 three-second EEG segments from 20 participants, three-class accuracy reached 91.67%, above SVM, CNN and LSTM baselines; mean attention scores were also higher in VR than in 2D.

  6. arXiv

    Chiplet design space stops being a black box: LLM sets direction, Bayesian optimization does the numbers

    Feeding an LLM's parameter-adjustment directions to Bayesian optimization as a soft prior raises hypervolume on a 3D CPU-GPU chiplet design space from 0.8210 to 0.8356, and to 0.8051 on a 2.5D space without retraining.

  7. arXiv

    Mixed-variable experiments stop leaning on structure alone: LLM ranking priors plus structural smoothing reach near-optimal candidates faster on six chemistry and materials tasks

    TagBO treats candidate rankings produced by a large language model as coarse task-aware priors and fuses them with local structural smoothing into a similarity graph, reaching high-quality candidates in fewer evaluations under a fixed budget on six mixed-variable chemistry and materials optimization tasks.

  8. α-RuCl₃ spin Hamiltonian now fitted from magnetization curves: Bayesian optimization returns five parameters, but the Kitaev energy scale stays undetermined

    The spin Hamiltonian parameters of α-RuCl₃ no longer come only from ab initio calculations: Bayesian optimization fits experimental magnetization curves along the b and c axes while optimizing five parameters, the Kitaev interaction K, the off-diagonal interactions Γ and Γ′, the Heisenberg interaction J, and the c-axis g-factor g_c. The cost-minimizing set is (K, Γ, Γ′, J, g_c) = (−6.0, 7.5, −0.3, −1.75, 2.3), with exchange couplings in meV. The cost function is insensitive to the absolute value of K, so magnetization data alone do not fix the energy scale of the Kitaev coupling; it depends only weakly on Γ′ and J, while the optimization favors a large positive Γ.

  9. arXiv

    ATLAS maps feasible-region topology with Mapper graphs to reach 100% success on four analog sizing benchmarks with fewer SPICE simulations

    ATLAS is a Bayesian optimization framework that, at each iteration, builds a Mapper graph over the surrogate-predicted feasible region to estimate the number of connected regions and uses a topological sensitivity score to label candidates as bridge, frontier, or interior points, injecting a targeted exploration bonus into the acquisition function; on four analog circuit benchmarks in the GF180 and SKY130 processes it attains the highest or tied-highest success rate on all four circuits, reaching 100% on the hardest circuit CMA where most baselines score 0%.

  10. Seven KNN hyperparameter tuning strategies compared across 15 datasets: PSO ranks best overall but significantly beats only random search

    Under a nested cross-validation framework, this study compared seven hyperparameter tuning strategies for classical KNN over a mixed search space comprising an integer neighborhood size k, a categorical distance metric, and a continuous Minkowski exponent p—grid search, random search, Bayesian optimization, genetic algorithm, surrogate optimization, particle swarm optimization (PSO), and grey wolf optimizer—evaluating them on 15 public classification datasets using accuracy, macro AUC, cross-validation loss, cross-entropy loss, and runtime, and found that PSO achieved the best overall mean rank but held a statistically significant advantage only over random search under Holm-corrected Wilcoxon signed-rank tests.

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