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# Tabular Prediction

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  1. arXiv

    TabFM-Auto pairs an LLM agent with frozen TabFM to evolve data pipelines, lifting Elo from 1785 to 2013 across all 51 TabArena datasets

    TabFM-Auto pairs the frozen tabular foundation model TabFM with a language-model coding agent that iteratively rewrites four pipeline stages—data cleaning, feature engineering, context selection, and post-processing—guided by dataset metadata and validation feedback; across all 51 TabArena datasets five configurations take the top five overall positions, the best (Codex with Opus 5) raises TabFM from 1785.3 to 2013.0 Elo, the discovered pipelines transfer without further search to TabPFN-3, TabICLv2, and EXAONE-Tabular (+69 to +143 Elo), and TabFM-Auto ranks first overall among MLE agents on the 8 tabular competitions of MLE-Bench.

  2. arXiv

    Google's 400M-parameter TabFM tops all 51 TabArena datasets zero-shot, and TabFM-Auto adds Elo with frozen weights

    TabFM is a 400M-parameter tabular foundation model that formulates supervised tabular prediction as in-context learning, is pretrained entirely on synthetic tables generated from structural causal models, and produces calibrated zero-shot predictions in a single forward pass; across all 51 TabArena datasets (38 classification, 13 regression) zero-shot TabFM ranks first among default tabular foundation models and outperforms tuned AutoML pipelines, while its two extensions, TabFM+ (multi-view feature expansion, ensembling, and post-hoc calibration) and TabFM-Auto (LLM-guided, dataset-specific data processing and feature engineering), improve both tracks over the same frozen weights.

  3. arXiv

    TabSieve's select-then-predict framework lifts classification by 2.92% and regression by 4.45% on average across 75 classification and 52 regression tables

    The authors propose TabSieve, a select-then-predict framework in which, given a table and a query row, the model first selects a small set of informative rows as evidence and then predicts the missing target conditioned on that evidence; to enable this capability they build TabSieve-SFT-40K by synthesizing high-quality reasoning trajectories from 331 real tables with a strong teacher model and strict filtering, and introduce TAB-GRPO, a reinforcement learning recipe that jointly optimizes evidence selection and prediction correctness with separate rewards and stabilizes mixed regression and classification training via dynamic task-advantage balancing; on a held-out benchmark of 75 classification and 52 regression tables, TabSieve consistently improves performance across shot budgets, with

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