A personal reference curve for brain wiring: BRIDGE cuts brain-age error by 3%–9% and ties deviation scores to ADOS in autistic boys
Brain-connectivity differences in autism and other neurodevelopmental disorders have mostly been read from group-average case-control contrasts, which flatten individual variation. BRIDGE combines a graph variational autoencoder with normative modeling to learn an age-varying reference trajectory of structural connectomes from 1,164 neurotypical participants, then reports a global deviation score from brain-age difference and an individualized regional deviation map from regional embeddings. In 229 autistic children, the global score correlated with ADOS (Spearman R=−0.291) and IQ (Pearson R=0.195) in males, and brain-age prediction error was 3%–9% lower than comparable deep-learning models.