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# ElecLoad

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  1. arXiv

    ElecLoad lets shifting event effects set the forecast segments: PJM WAPE falls from 4.31% to 3.69% when events pile up

    ElecLoad reads weather alerts, grid notices and news event descriptions alongside historical load, judging each event's relevance to the target load, the timing of its effect, and whether events reinforce or offset one another, then decides whether to forecast the whole horizon at once or split it where event effects change. On the segmented path, sub-agents draft each segment independently and the main agent reviews them and sends feedback to selected segments only. Across hourly load data including GEFCom2014, PJM and LCL it ranks near the top in most evaluation scenarios; under multiple events on PJM its WAPE is 3.69% versus 4.31% for a direct-only variant using the same model and inputs.

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