Before the story is written, event types are decodable: four open-weight models look ahead at least four events, but only the next one beats text-only prediction
Across four 24–32B open-weight models, hidden states at event ends decode the state-change type of at least four upcoming events, yet only the next event significantly beats text-only predictors; in OLMo, sustained steering along that direction shifts subsequent event composition in both directions.