Metabolomic clustering of 24,638 UK Biobank participants with prediabetes yields three subtypes with progressively higher type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular, and chronic kidney disease risk
In 24,638 UK Biobank participants with prediabetes, LASSO and elastic net selection of nuclear magnetic resonance metabolomic markers yielded 16 biomarkers, and k-means clustering in the training set (12,322 participants) identified low-, intermediate-, and high-metabolic-risk subtypes that showed progressively higher risks of type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and chronic kidney disease in the validation set (12,316 participants), with diet-quality associations differing across subtypes and Mendelian randomization suggesting potential causal links for several metabolomic biomarkers.